Four Nations, Four Markets
UK housing figures are usually reported as a single national number, but England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland have meaningfully different housing markets. Comparing dwellings per capita, average house prices, and the price-to-earnings ratio across all four shows where the pressure is actually concentrated [1].
Dwellings Per Capita
Northern Ireland has the fewest dwellings relative to its population among the four nations, at 43.2 per 100 people, just below England's 44.0. Wales (46.7) and Scotland (49.5) are both better supplied, though all four still fall short of the OECD average of 48.7 [1][2].
House Prices
House prices vary far more sharply than housing supply does. As of January 2023, the average home in England cost £285,817, compared with £201,853 in Wales, £175,092 in Scotland, and £162,479 in Northern Ireland [3].
Affordability: Price to Earnings
Scotland combines relatively low house prices with the UK's highest median full-time earnings of the four nations (£709 a week in 2023), giving it by far the most affordable price-to-earnings ratio at 4.75x. England, despite not having the lowest dwellings per capita, has both the highest prices and the highest ratio, at 7.97x [3][4].
The pattern suggests undersupply alone doesn't explain the UK's affordability problem. Northern Ireland has a tighter dwellings-per-capita figure than England, yet its housing is far more affordable, because prices and wages there sit much closer together.
Citations & Sources
- Home Builders Federation, Housing Horizons: Examining UK Housing Stock in an International Context (October 2023). OECD benchmark, 2020 data.
- Dwelling stock estimates, ~2023: MHCLG, England (31 March 2023); National Records of Scotland (2023); Welsh Government (31 March 2023); NISRA (April 2023). Population: ONS mid-2023 estimates.
- HM Land Registry / ONS, UK House Price Index, average price by nation, January 2023.
- ONS, ASHE Table 7.1a (Work Geography): median gross weekly earnings, full-time, 2023 (England, Wales, Scotland); NISRA Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings, 2023 (Northern Ireland).