Location, Location, Location: How Much Does London Distort the Picture?
As of November 2025, the average home in London cost £556,044, against £294,466 in England and £272,248 across the UK as a whole [1]. London alone is worth roughly double the national figure. "Location, location, location" is the oldest cliche in property, but it raises a real question for a site built on national averages: how much of the national picture is actually just London, and how much of London's own premium is domestic desirability versus money from abroad?
It's worth going one step further than the headline nation-vs-capital comparison. Stripping London's own sales out of the England and UK figures entirely, using the same underlying transaction-weighted dataset, leaves an average home price of £266,965 for the rest of England and £250,113 for the rest of the UK [1], both meaningfully below the published national averages. London isn't just an outlier sitting on top of the national figure; it's propping that figure up.
The Superstar City Effect
Economists Joseph Gyourko, Christopher Mayer and Todd Sinai call cities like London "superstar cities": places where the supply of land is effectively fixed, and a growing number of high-income households nationally compete for the same scarce, unique locations [2]. Prices in these cities decouple from local wages because the buyers bidding them up aren't only local; they're the country's highest earners choosing where to live. This mechanism would produce a large London premium even if not a single overseas buyer ever entered the market. It's also not a one-way ratchet: in the twelve months to November 2025, London prices actually fell 0.7% while the UK as a whole rose 2.9% [1], a reminder that the premium is a deep structural gap built up over decades, not evidence of an active, ongoing price surge.
How Much Is International Demand, Really?
The most detailed answer comes from a University of York study commissioned by the Greater London Authority, which traced Land Registry sales of new-build homes across London between April 2014 and March 2016 [3]. Overseas buyers accounted for 13% of all new-build sales London-wide, rising from 10.5% in 2014 to 17.9% in 2016. That share concentrates enormously in the prime central boroughs: overseas buyers made up 40.8% of sales in the City of London, 37.9% in Westminster, and 32.2% in Kensington & Chelsea, against just 5.7% in outer London [3].
But those three prime boroughs account for only around 7% of all new-build sales in London. Overseas money is genuinely concentrated at the very top of the market, but the top of the market is a small slice of the city, which is why the researchers describe its direct effect on London-wide prices as limited.
Occupied, Not Empty
The other half of the "investment demand" question is whether these homes sit empty. Using commercial and administrative data as a proxy for occupation, the same study inferred that 10.2% of new-build homes across London were under-used in some way, rising to around half in prime central London specifically. Overseas owners were more likely to hold an under-used property than UK owners (42.3% versus 5.6%) [3]. But because overseas buyers are a minority of the market, the absolute numbers were close either way: an estimated 402 under-used homes owned overseas against 389 owned by UK buyers, in a sample of under 8,000 properties. Even the "empty homes" story, once you look past the headline percentage, turns out to be roughly split rather than a story about foreign money alone.
Citations & Sources
- HM Land Registry / ONS, UK House Price Index: data downloads. Average price, 12-month growth rate and sales volume by nation and region, reference month November 2025 (the most recent month with published regional sales volumes at time of writing). England-excluding-London and UK-excluding-London figures are our own calculation: subtracting London's sales volume and total sale value from the England and UK totals in the same dataset, then dividing through, so all figures are transaction-weighted and drawn from a single consistent source.
- Joseph Gyourko, Christopher Mayer and Todd Sinai, Superstar Cities, NBER Working Paper 12355, published in American Economic Journal: Economic Policy (2013).
- Alison Wallace, David Rhodes and Richard Webber (Centre for Housing Policy, University of York), Overseas Investors in London's New Build Housing Market (June 2017), commissioned by the Greater London Authority. Land Registry sales data, new-build homes, April 2014 - March 2016.